When we set our expectations and operate based on the sequence of events that unfolded the last time a similar situation has occurred, we surrender to history.

Superforecasting is a concept that became widely known after Canadian researcher Philip E. Tetlock presented it in his book “ Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction ” published in 2015.

There is an idea to use artificial intelligence (AI) and computers capable of advanced calculations to predict the future and prevent undesirable events in advance. Thomas Hofweber, a professor of ...